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164 charts
Growth › GDP5 charts
Real GDP — Quarter-over-Quarter Growth% change from preceding quarter, SAARReal Corporate Profits — QoQ GrowthWith IVA & CCAdj, deflated by GDP price index; % change at annual rateComponents of GDP — Contributions to % ChangeStacked bars sum to headline GDP growth; line shows totalProductivity — Output per HourNon-farm business and manufacturing; % change at annual rateGDP vs GDI — Year-over-Year % ChangeReal GDP vs real GDI; gap is the statistical discrepancyGrowth › Leading Indicators5 charts
Index of Leading Economic IndicatorsConference Board LEI — index level, 2016 = 100, seasonally adjustedLeading, Coincident & Lagging IndexesThe three composite business-cycle indexes — 2016 = 100, SA. Leading turns first; lagging turns last.LEI — Six-Month Growth RateAnnualized % change over the prior six months — the classic recession signalLEI — Month-over-Month Change% change from the prior month, SALEI Components — Standardized 6-Month ChangeEach component's own 6-month swing, standardized (z-score), sign-oriented so positive = supportive of growth. A contribution proxy — toggle series in the legend.Growth › Manufacturing8 charts
Industrial Production — Index LevelIndex 2017=100, SA — total industrial production and manufacturingU.S. Industrial Production — MonthlyIndex 2017=100, SA — MoM % bars + Total YoY % lineIndustrial Production — Long RunYoY % line (left); MoM % bars (right)Capacity UtilizationPercent of potential output in use, SA — lower = more slackU.S. Factory Orders — Monthly % ChangeManufacturers' new orders, SA — total / core / durable / core durable / nondurable / core capex orders & shipmentsAdvance Durable Goods — New OrdersCensus M3 advance report, SA, MoM % — Defense on right axis at a fixed 3:1 scaleValue of Shipments — Capital GoodsManufacturers' value of shipments, SA, MoM % — nondef. ex aircraft = "core capex"Total Electricity Net GenerationElectric power sector; 12-month moving average; CPI electricity index (right)Growth › Business Surveys11 charts
ISM Manufacturing IndexDiffusion index, SA; 50 = expansion / contraction threshold + sub-indicesISM Manufacturing — Major ComponentsBars represent distance from 50; SA — total / employment / new orders / backlog / pricesISM Manufacturing — Production & Supply ChainProduction and supplier deliveries (SA) with new export orders and imports (NSA), vs. the 50 thresholdISM Services IndexDiffusion index, SA — composite + employment / new orders / pricesISM Services — Orders, Deliveries & BacklogBusiness activity (SA) with supplier deliveries, backlog and trade orders (NSA), vs. the 50 thresholdISM Services — Inventories vs. Inventory SentimentSentiment above 50 = respondents judge their inventories too high; NSAComposite PMI — Manufacturing vs. ServicesISM Manufacturing total + ISM Services composite, with the 50 thresholdCass Freight Shipments — Year-over-Year %Volume index, % change vs. same month a year ago — negative = freight recessionNFIB Small Business Optimism IndexDiffusion-style index, SA; 1986 = 100; ~98 long-run average shown dashedNFIB Small Business Uncertainty IndexNet %, SA; higher = more uncertain; ~68 historical average shown dashedNFIB — Single Most Important Problem (latest survey)Share of owners citing each issue as their top problem; NSALabor › Jobs & Unemployment7 charts
Unemployment & ParticipationSeasonally adjusted, percent — dual axisMonthly Change in Nonfarm PayrollsSeasonally adjusted; thousands of jobsPayrolls vs Household EmploymentMonthly change; seasonally adjusted; thousandsPayrolls — 3-Month Moving AverageMonthly change; seasonally adjusted; thousandsFull-Time vs Part-Time EmploymentSeasonally adjusted; start of selected range = 100JOLTS — Openings, Hires, QuitsTotal nonfarm; millions, seasonally adjustedAnnounced Job CutsU.S. employers' announced cuts, NSA monthly, with the 3-month average — announcements are intentions, and lead actual separationsLabor › Wages & Workforce5 charts
Wages & HoursTotal private; AHE YoY (left) and avg weekly hours (right)Real Wage GrowthAvg hourly earnings in 1982-84 dollars; year-over-year percent change, SAForeign-Born vs Native-Born EmploymentYear-over-year percent change; NSALabor Force by NativityYear-over-year percent change in the 3-month moving average; NSALabor Force Participation Rate by AgePercent; monthly since 1948 — shaded bands mark NBER recessionsInflation › CPI7 charts
Consumer Price IndexYear-over-year (lines) & monthly (bars) — seasonally adjustedHeadline · Core · SupercoreYear-over-year percent changeMonthly InflationMonth-over-month, seasonally adjustedCPI ComponentsYear-over-year percent changeComponent DetailYear-over-year percent changeEnergy Prices, IndexedStart of selected range = 100CPI: 1970s vs. NowYear-over-year percent change, aligned on a shared elapsed-time axisInflation › PPI4 charts
Headline vs Core PPIYear-over-year percent changeMonthly PPI Change by AggregateMonth-over-month, seasonally adjustedPPI ComponentsYear-over-year percent changeGoods vs Services, IndexedStart of selected range = 100Inflation › PCE4 charts
Headline vs Core PCEYear-over-year percent changeMonthly PCE ChangeMonth-over-month, seasonally adjustedPCE ComponentsYear-over-year: goods, services, supercore, energyDurables vs Nondurables vs Services, IndexedStart of selected range = 100Consumer › Income & Spending8 charts
Personal Income & Consumption — Nominal MoM% change MoM; income, disposable income, consumption — current dollarsPersonal Income & Consumption — Real MoM% change MoM; chained 2017 dollars — deflated by the PCE price indexPersonal Saving RatePersonal saving as a % of disposable personal income, monthly, SAPersonal Interest PaymentsPersonal interest payments, $ billions, SAARConsumer Credit — Household Debt Less MortgageStacked area, $ trillions: credit card, home equity, auto, student, other — total line over the stackRevolving Consumer Credit — Total & YoY %Dual axis — left: total revolving credit ($T, SA); right: YoY % changeConsumer Credit — Monthly ChangeStacked bars, $B SA: monthly change in revolving & nonrevolving consumer creditPercent of Balances 90+ Days DelinquentCredit card, mortgage, auto, student — % of category balance, quarterlyConsumer › Retail & Confidence4 charts
Retail Sales — Monthly ChangeMoM % bars (total / ex-MV / control); Total YoY line on the right axisRetail Sales — Contribution by SectorStacked bars sum to total MoM %; each segment is a sector's contribution in ppUMich Consumer SentimentIndex, 1966 Q1 = 100; total + Expectations and Current ConditionsConference Board Consumer ConfidenceIndex, 1985 = 100; CCI + Expectations and Present SituationConsumer › Income Divide7 charts
Spending Relative to Middle-Income HouseholdsRatio of real retail spending index to the middle-income index, 3-month average — left: lower income (<$40k); right: higher income ($125k+)Real Retail Spending by Income TierCumulative growth index, January 2020 = 100, monthlyReal Retail Spending — Year-over-Year% change vs. the same month a year earlier, computed from the published index levelsInside the Top — Spending by High-Income BracketCumulative growth index, January 2023 = 100 — the only base on which the sub-brackets are published, so these series begin in 2023Staples — Real Food & Beverage Spending by Income TierCumulative growth index, January 2020 = 100 — the necessities counterweight to the retail seriesInflation Actually Experienced, by Income GroupYear-over-year %, reconstructed as the headline rate plus each group's published inflation gapThe Education Divide — Unemployment GapCollege minus non-college unemployment rate, percentage points; more negative = a wider advantage for college graduatesHousing › Existing7 charts
Existing Home SalesSeasonally adjusted annual rate, unitsExisting Home Sales & Median PriceSales SAAR (left); median sales price USD (right)Case-Shiller US National HPIIndex level; Jan 2000 = 100, NSAInventory & Months SupplyActive listings (left) and months of supply (right), NSACase-Shiller HPI — YoY % ChangeU.S. National HPI and 20-City Composite, SA30-Year Fixed Mortgage RateFreddie Mac PMMS, monthly average of weekly surveysCase-Shiller HPI — YoY % Change by MetroSelected U.S. metro markets; SA; year-over-year percent changeHousing › New Homes9 charts
New Home SalesSeasonally adjusted annual rate, unitsMedian & Average Sales PriceNSA, USD — the gap tracks upper-tail pricingInventory by Stage of ConstructionHouses for sale at end of period, SAMonths SupplyAt current sales rate, NSA & SA, monthsNew Home Sales by RegionSAAR — Northeast, Midwest, South, WestNew Home Sales — YoY % ChangeYear-over-year percent change in SAAR — cycle indicatorNAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market IndexBuilder sentiment — 0 to 100, 50 = neutralNAHB Sub-IndicesCurrent sales, expectations next 6 months, buyer traffic — 0 to 100NAHB HMI by RegionRegional builder sentiment — Northeast, Midwest, South, WestHousing › Permits & Starts10 charts
Building PermitsPrivately-owned units authorized — SAAR; total, single- and multi-familyBuilding Permits — MoM % Change by TypePercent change from prior month, by permit categoryMulti-Family Permits Detail5+ unit (left) vs. 2-4 unit (right) buildings — SAAR, dual axisHousing StartsPrivately-owned units started — SAAR; total, single- and multi-familyHousing Starts — MoM % Change by TypeTotal, single-family, multi-family — percent change from prior monthHousing CompletionsPrivately-owned units completed — SAAR; total, single- and multi-familyStarts vs. CompletionsTotal SAAR (left) and the pipeline gap, starts minus completions (right)Permits vs. StartsTotal SAAR — permits lead starts by ~1 monthYear-over-Year % ChangePermits and starts, total SAAR — cycle indicatorPermits-to-Starts RatioTotal permits ÷ total starts — above 1.0 = authorizing faster than breaking groundHousing › Mortgage Activity8 charts
MBA Mortgage ApplicationsRefinance index (left) & purchase index (right) — index 3/16/1990 = 100, SA30-Year vs 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RateFreddie Mac PMMS, weekly30-Year Mortgage − 10-Year Treasury SpreadWeekly; blew out historically wide post-2022“Golden Handcuff”: Market Rate vs Effective Rate on Outstanding DebtMonthly; 30Y PMMS vs effective rate on outstanding mortgage debtMortgage Delinquency RateSingle-family residential at all commercial banks; quarterly, SAMortgage Debt Outstanding1-4 family residential mortgage balance; quarterly, $ trillions, NSAHousing Affordability IndexNAR fixed-rate index, SA; 100 = median income exactly qualifies for median-priced homeMedian Home Price ÷ Median Household IncomeQuarterly ratio; both nominal, current dollarsMarkets › Treasuries6 charts
Yield Curve — Today vs. One Year AgoTreasury constant-maturity yields, %10-Year Treasury YieldConstant-maturity yield, %10-Year Minus 2-Year SpreadRecession indicator — below zero = inverted curveFed Funds vs. 10-Year TreasuryPolicy rate vs. long-term market yieldReal 10-Year Yield & Inflation ExpectationsNominal 10Y = real yield (TIPS) + 10Y breakeven; available 2003-Corporate Credit Spreads (IG vs. HY)Option-adjusted spread to Treasuries, % — dual axisMarkets › Equities6 charts
S&P 500Daily close, index levelMajor Indices — Rebased to 100S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow & Russell 2000, each = 100 at start of windowVIX — Volatility IndexCBOE 30-day implied volatility; below 20 = calm, above 30 = stressS&P 500 — Drawdown From All-Time HighPercent below the running peak; reference lines at -10% and -20%Wilshire 5000 / After-Tax Corporate ProfitsEconomy-wide "P/E"; long-run average ~12; bands: cheap <9, fair 9-15, over-valued 15-18, frothy >18Nasdaq vs. Russell 2000 — Rebased to 100Tech-heavy large caps vs. small capsMarkets › Commodities6 charts
Gold & SilverSpot prices, $/oz — gold left axis, silver right (different scales)Gold-to-Silver RatioOunces of silver per ounce of gold; <~60 silver-strong, >~80 risk-offCrude Oil — WTI vs. BrentSpot prices, $/barrel — US vs. international benchmarkHenry Hub Natural GasUS spot price, $/MMBtu — weather-driven, domestic-supply sensitivePlatinumSpot price, $/oz — heavy industrial demand makes it more cyclical than goldEnergy vs. Metals (Rebased to 100)Each indexed to 100 at the start of the window — relative performanceEnergy › Oil & Gas8 charts
U.S. Crude Oil Production & Active Oil RigsWeekly field production, thousand barrels/day (left) vs. Baker Hughes oil-directed rotary rigs (right)Oil & Fuel PricesBrent crude, $/barrel (left) vs. U.S. retail regular gasoline and diesel, $/gallon (right)Strategic Petroleum ReserveCrude oil stocks in the SPR, thousand barrels, monthly since 1977 — gray bands are NBER recessionsSPR Stocks vs. the Price of OilSPR crude stocks, thousand barrels (left) vs. WTI spot, monthly average $/barrel (right)Commercial Crude Inventories vs. 5-Year RangeWeekly crude stocks excluding the SPR, thousand barrels, against the prior five years' min–max band and averageU.S. Net Petroleum ExportsNet exports of crude oil + refined products and of crude alone, thousand barrels/day — above zero the U.S. is a net exporterRefinery UtilizationPercent of operable refining capacity in use, weekly — seasonal dips are spring/fall maintenance turnaroundsGasoline & Distillate StocksWeekly inventories of total gasoline and distillate fuel oil (diesel, heating oil), thousand barrelsEnergy › Gas & Electricity8 charts
Total Electricity Net GenerationElectric power sector, 12-month moving average, million kWh (left) vs. CPI electricity index, 1982-84=100 (right)Who Is Using the Power — Retail Sales by Sector12-month moving average of monthly electricity sales, million kWh — commercial is where data centers landData Center Construction SpendingPrivate construction put in place, seasonally adjusted annual rate, $ billions (left) vs. electric power construction (right)Generation MixShare of electric-power-sector generation over the trailing 12 months, percentRetail Electricity Prices by SectorAverage price, cents per kWh, 12-month moving averageHenry Hub Natural Gas Spot Price$ per MMBtu, daily — the fuel behind roughly 40% of U.S. generationNatural Gas in Storage vs. 5-Year RangeWorking gas in underground storage, Lower 48, Bcf, weekly, against the prior five years' min–max band and averageDry Gas Production & LNG ExportsBillion cubic feet per day, monthly — dry production (left) and liquefied natural gas exports (right)Government10 charts
Federal Debt OutstandingTotal public debt, $ trillions, daily — vertical lines mark each trillion crossedGovernment EmploymentFederal (left) vs. state + local (right), millions of workersFederal Outlays vs. ReceiptsTrailing-12-month sums, $B — the gap is the deficitM2 Money SupplyLevel ($T, left); YoY and annualized monthly growth, % (right)Federal Reserve Balance SheetStacked composition (Treasuries / MBS / other), $B, weekly — green lines = easing, orange = tighteningTariff RevenueCustoms duties collected, $B, monthly — gold bands = Trump terms, gray = NBER recessionsFederal Interest ExpenseAnnualized quarterly rate, $B — now the third-largest federal outlayFederal Debt as Percent of GDPTotal public debt ÷ nominal GDP, %, quarterlyTop-10% Household Assets per $1 of Federal DebtTotal assets of the top 10% of households by wealth ÷ total public debt, quarterly — gray bands = NBER recessionsTop-10% Household Assets vs. Federal DebtTotal assets of the top 10% (with its two components) and total public debt, $ trillions, quarterlyGeorgia Counties11 charts
Unemployment RateMonthly, not seasonally adjusted — county vs. Georgia vs. U.S.Employment & Labor ForceEmployed residents and civilian labor force, monthly, NSAEmployment by IndustryAnnual average covered employment by sector, latest yearAverage Weekly Wage by IndustryAnnual average weekly wage by private sector, latest yearAverage Weekly Wage TrendAnnual average, all covered employment — county vs. Georgia vs. U.S.PopulationAnnual estimates — level (left) and growth rate (right)Components of Population ChangeAnnual natural change (births − deaths) and net migrationPer-Capita Personal IncomeAnnual, current dollars — county vs. Georgia vs. U.S.Home Value vs. Income — the 30% RuleMedian home value vs. the price affordable at 30% of median income; income on the right axisGross Rent vs. the 30% RuleMedian gross rent vs. rent affordable at 30% of median income; rent burden on the right axisResidential Building PermitsHousing units authorized per year — single-family vs. multi-family, stackedNo charts match. Try a shorter word, or pick a topic above.